10-03-2022 The unfolding of the Russian invasion of Ukraine has yielded many surprises. The poor performance of the Russian army in terms of tactics, logistics, and battlefield C3ISR has put invading forces in a disadvantageous position. The war's dragging has changed the strategic situation in ways that Russian President Putin likely did not calculate for and offered valuable strategic opportunities for the U.S. to significantly weaken Russia's comprehensive national power. After this invasion, Russia will lose much of its influence and isolate itself from Western countries — at least for a period of time. For its part, China will be dragged into the power vacuum created by Russia, and the U.S. will perceive China as a rival, like Russia, to the world. From the Chinese perspective, China will avoid becoming another Russia and will not fall into what Beijing regards as a trap set by the U.S. In the Taiwan Strait, Russia's painful experience in Ukraine will make Chinese leader Xi Jinping reluctant to use force to accomplish his goals over Taiwan.

06-08-2021

Germany will hold its Bundestag election this September, which will usher in the post-Merkel period. Judging by the current situation, a coalition between the Union Party and the Green Party is the most likely outcome. This could be beneficial to Taiwan because the second largest parties were mostly in charge of foreign policy in previous German coalition governments, and the Green Party, which holds a stronger stance on China, takes on that role.

12-08-2020 The changes in the Sino-US competition for hegemony occur based on each country’s judgement on the different levels of national interest. Despite Taiwan being sandwiched between the two great powers, relying on the US seems to be the only choice it has because of aggressing Communist China. However, there is still full of uncertainty, and I dare not make improper responses and speculations.

05-14-2020 The PLA has increased the frequency of its aircrafts and warships appearance on screens of Taiwan military radars in last three months. Since the Covid-19 pandemic began in late January, the PLA air fleet, formed mainly by H-6K, J-11 and other aircrafts, has begun its annual training flight by flying along the south edge of Taiwan ADIZ

05-14-2020 The COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak has not only caused serious impacts on the global economy but also shattered trust between two largest economies of the world arena, the US and China. In point of fact, the trade war between them before the COVID-19 crisis had revealed how breakable their mutual trust was.

05-05-2020 Following the 2020 Taiwan Presidential Election, the world has been suffering the impact of non-conventional threats. Interaction between nations, economic or diplomatic, has come to a standstill because of the outbreak of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

02-25-2020 As of February 23, 2020, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases on the Diamond Princess cruise ship berthed in Japan has soared from 10 to 691 since February 4. The fiasco made Japan the most significant infection cluster outside China, and turned Japan i

12-27-2019 In May 2015, the Obama administration dispatched a P8-A Poseidon surveillance plane carrying CNN news reporters to fly at low height close over the China-controlled Fiery Cross Reef located in the Spratly waters in the South China Sea.